Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.046648e-07 1.646930e-06 2.752300e-06 0.000004 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.200832e-07 1.079289e-06 2.313391e-06 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000023
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.995461e-07 7.303166e-07 1.964811e-06 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000031
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.006996e-07 5.243909e-07 1.726871e-06 0.000005 0.000011 0.000021 0.000039
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.350351e-08 3.507984e-07 1.442332e-06 0.000004 0.000011 0.000024 0.000047
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.027699e-08 2.556315e-07 1.282540e-06 0.000004 0.000012 0.000027 0.000056
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.342383e-09 1.821325e-07 1.130108e-06 0.000004 0.000013 0.000031 0.000066
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.822145e-09 1.240566e-07 9.675395e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000033 0.000074
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.051795e-09 9.536758e-08 9.053729e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000038 0.000086
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.828432e-10 8.320551e-08 9.149017e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000043 0.000101
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.197330e-10 6.274262e-08 8.479482e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000048 0.000114
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.960844e-11 4.718765e-08 7.856892e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000052 0.000127
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.964726e-13 3.197805e-08 7.159299e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000059 0.000146
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.208153e-08 6.617872e-07 0.000005 0.000022 0.000066 0.000167
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.394546e-08 5.928888e-07 0.000005 0.000023 0.000072 0.000187
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 8.869047e-09 5.379861e-07 0.000005 0.000025 0.000079 0.000209
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.505452e-09 4.528262e-07 0.000005 0.000025 0.000084 0.000227
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.561582e-09 4.066915e-07 0.000005 0.000027 0.000090 0.000249
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.303290e-09 3.595396e-07 0.000005 0.000028 0.000097 0.000272
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 5.255571e-10 3.038208e-07 0.000005 0.000029 0.000102 0.000291
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.806669e-10 2.865997e-07 0.000005 0.000030 0.000110 0.000320
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.097467e-10 2.958730e-07 0.000005 0.000033 0.000123 0.000357
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 9.156633e-11 2.737790e-07 0.000005 0.000035 0.000131 0.000387